Postman says:

He is wrong. End of story. He entirely fails to anticipate the greed of the wireless telephone companies. As soon as significant commerce starts occuring over the phone (no commerce is currently occuring over 3g on iphone because it does not let you download apps or movies over 3g, wifi only) they will begin to massively jack up their rates.

Also smart phones and net books are not tech industry growth, they are personal computer downsizing.

Mobility has NOTHING to do with it, as smart phones are still primarly used by introverted shut ins. That is why they do not know the piss poor quality of the wireless data networks (why so much fanboy getting the nerds to admit this???) and there are no longer free wifi anywhere, except possibly hotels. Expect those few remaining free wifi access ports to close up this year.

I think if we were gonna see tablets in any significance… They would be outselling video game consoles already. So if you think the xbox is a failure, you have to agree, the kindle, the current best in class tablet, is an even bigger failure.

Given the realities of the portables market, it will come to be dominated by nintendo with their next gen 3g enabled DS product. The people (nerds) who are facinated by these products will lose all interest in them, rapidly, and switch to the DS.

The other big player in the portable device market will be microsoft who will release the xbox-zune this year.

Microsoft will dominate the US market, Nintendo all others.

He reads the industry, what and how people use their smart phones almost entirely wrong.

Oh, and newspapers will still be free, paid for by advertising. The Murdock-google deal will fall apart when no one subscribes to news web sites, and everyone will switch to bing who will share their advertising revenue with newspapers. Google will fold faster than AOL. I expect Apple will buy the burning tattered remains of Google around 2012, and tightly integrate the search product with their operating system, the way microsoft has done with Bing.

LOWER CASE SCREEN NAME says:

#1 – You’ve got a point. You’d have to be ultra rich with money to burn to subscribe to a news site. Especially with the quality of news coverage these days. Hell, Al Jazeera has better, more factual coverage than the American mainstream press.

Postman says:

#2,

I wouldnt think that if I had not watched the chromeos tech demo and came away thinking… “wow Google has lost their focus and mojo”.

Quite frankly, it reminded me of the JavaOS techdemo from Sun all those years ago.

deowll says:

I think this depends on your income. If you are rich you’re able to play on the mobile scene. The average Joe is only going to be able to play if they make a major cut somewhere else.

I could give up my fast internet at home maybe…no. This is more like a thousand a year and I’m not going there.

There is also not going to be much I need from these news people that I can’t find somewhere else for free and that goes double when the lame media is not even a trusted source any more. They edit the freaking news! A major news story might be breaking and they might decide to not cover it! Who needs that?

ECA says:

HOW DEEP is this pile??
GET a snorkel.