The Farmers’ Almanac is using words like “piercing cold,” “bitterly cold” and “biting cold” to describe the upcoming winter. And if its predictions are right, the first outdoor Super Bowl in years will be a messy “Storm Bowl.”
The 197-year-old publication that hits newsstands Monday predicts a winter storm will hit the Northeast around the time the Super Bowl is played at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands in New Jersey. It also predicts a colder-than-normal winter for two-thirds of the country and heavy snowfall in the Midwest, Great Lakes and New England.
Sunspots and (indirectly) tidal action probably has much to do with the overall climate. With sunspots, it can be any number of things from increase/decrease solar output to variable mitigation of cosmic rays and their effect on cloud cover/precipitation.
Farmer’s Almanac may have stumbled onto Milankovitch cycles since they include tide data. Earth does kind of stagger around like a drunkard and there are also times when we are closer or farther from the sun during a given season due to elliptical eccentricity of orbit —
“”Currently the Earth is tilted at 23.44 degrees from its orbital plane, roughly halfway between its extreme values. The tilt is in the decreasing phase of its cycle, and will reach its minimum value around the year 11,800 CE ; the last maximum was reached in 8,700 BCE. This trend in forcing, by itself, tends to make winters warmer and summers colder (i.e. milder seasons), as well as cause an overall cooling trend…
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles#Axial_tilt_.28obliquity.29
The Milankovitch Cycle is 20,000 years long, or 40,000 depending on your point of view. So exactly does it affect seasonal variations?
Obviously it’s affecting my ability to nail that tricky 7-10 split with those wild fluctuations in earth’s axis.
For a complete ‘cycle’ the periodicity is that long but within that are variations in tilt and distance from sun for a given date which actually change the length of seasons by several days each year.
Well, you just have to figure some things out by yourself —
Kingpin (urinal deuce)
http://youtube.com/watch?v=4i3B2IqrFWU&feature=player_detailpage#t=2403
I think I read a year ago now that the climate should be cooling absent the carbon pollution from man. I may have that wrong as it could have been a blog comment and not “real science.”
“How do you know what you know and how do you change your mind?” /// AGW is an excellent subject to check yourself on. If you don’t accept AGW…. you are just an anti-Science denying dumb shit.
Pedro?==check.
Well, you might try Tim’s Ten Minute Mind Change {accredited} — Slip brains through slot in door after 5:00 pm.
No. Carbon influence on temperature in Earth’s atmosphere is weaker at least order of magnitude (and most likely two orders of magnitude) than the dominating factor: efficiency of energy->temperature conversion as a function of a number of high (vs. low) energy particles that hit us. Experimental proof 2001 CERN study (famous for a ban on interpretation of numbers, the historical scientific shame of the human kind… Not the numbers, ban on deriving obvious conclusions from them). Main “temperature controller” in Earth’s atmosphere is water vapor.
Your interpretation most likely stems from the fact that we are still in 10% of coldest years in last 10000 years. But that is WITH human and non-human carbon emissions. And that is the REAL current climate. Yes, our recent ancestors (few hundred years back) were much colder and there were glaciers and ice… We are warmer than them. But a) we are still way below 10000 year average and b) Rise in temperature completely correlates to amount of high energy particles hitting us, not at all with carbon emissions (for latter see continuous rise in carbon emissions since early 2000’s and (un)related DROP of the global temperature – as Sun produced less spots and hence less high energy particles hit us).
Typo 2011 CERN not 2001…
When the IPCC, the best science on the issue we have, changes its mind, I will too. Actually, given I have nothing psychological invested in this issue, I’d probably change my mind before the IPCC as major chunks of climate evidence fell away from the AGW model.
I understand in general the solar radiation energy concept but seems to me there is controversy on its effect and how or whether it was/is/will be modeled accurately.
Meanwhile, sea levels continue to rise:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_sea_level_rise
The Farmer’s Almanac? Really? With this is your “proof” I think the anti-climate change people are losing the argument.
The Farmer’s Almanac? Really?
I’ll put my money down with the North Carolina wooly worm prediction every time.
Then you’d be correct about 80% of the time with some wiggle room if you happen to be on a cusp between undulating Hadley cells —
“” It is said C.H. Curran, former curator of insects at the American Museum of Natural History in New York, tested the woolly worms’ accuracy in the 1950s. He allegedly found an 80 percent accuracy rate.
http://dailyitem.com/0100_news/x371808703/Woolly-worms-outsmart-Phil
Silly, didn’t you get the memo, doesn’t everyone know?
America’s fearless Home Land Security crack team of professionals recently fixed a decoding transcription error and adjusted the Mayan End of World Event predictions (the true end of the third age and the 5000 year long count calendar) to occur during 2014 Super Bowl half-time!
“”transcription error
My clone monitors these boards and has taken that as direct affront. He leaves no digital fingerprints {well, no any kind of fingerprints as his fingers have failed to drop} He’s on his way to 134,762,033 houses right now {santa clause sequence} to personally puke out psycadellic mycelium all around you people’s mailboxes.
I affronted your friends at NSA?
Is the First Amendment and Freedoms violated by affronting you and America’s national lair of liars and War Mongers?
Yea, the Germans make good stuff and then I have to be reminded of this kind of tripe —
http://wnd.com/2013/08/police-storm-homeschool-class-take-children-by-force/
Same as it ever was. I get the feeling our best youthful part of life has been ground away, extracted, homogenized, stolen worldwide since the early ’40s or so. I can’t remember why — the anger blinds my reason.
An interesting and busy Internet Bee you is, jumping flower on flower, pollinating mutations of wisdom.
Naa, nothing wrong with those fishes– Just puree them and don’t forget the bay leaf.
Well, Thx for the lucid material; I gotta lay down now and dream some stuff that’ll keep the brain scanner beeping that it doesn’t think I should get on a plane. Again!
America must be safe from night terrors, clone scanners can never sleep?
I miss my belly button.
If you stopped drinking, then maybe you could aim and you won’t miss!
Who shoots their belly button anyway?
Tim, here be some belly button lint, if you’re looking?
Awhhh, the first one’s got sad. Father does not allow me to forward the cat anymore because he says I forget to water it and it’s pattern has degraded — I don’t really but saline is pricey and there’s more in table salt besides salt.
http://youtube.com/watch?v=8DWKUfTkVM8
Tim, you have this eerie government identity Dissociative disquality about you.
Your flying carp reflects latent sociopathic homicidal tendencies. Are you or have you serially exhibited these tendencies with others?
No, but I heard that dam when it busted.
Constant ignorant confusion over the basic terms of the issue:
Weather–what happens day to day, next week in your locality. “Long Term Forecasts” go out 1-2-3 years.
Climate–what is happening over 100’s of years over the entire Globe.
Can you spot the difference?….. aka…. The prediction of the OP may or may not be entirely correct….. but it is about the weather, NOT CLIMATE. Same error when sticking your head in the freezer: Neither the weather nor the climate is getting colder. Can you spot the difference????
Stoopid Hoomans.
Dampness — is it getting more warm and humid in here or did I just shit myself again??
Incidentally, I checked out the Cage Match forum — more ‘in depth’ but that comment format really does suck. Not as bad as freerepublic asshat suck but it’s just kindof ugly. I read through ‘long time passing’ and saw not a single link to the PPM song so I thought I would point sensation-starved and willing clones to where they may feel the blessed oneoffness of blood coming out of their ears —
http://youtube.com/watch?v=sKvdPsnkPC0
bobbo, the Occupy Wall Street supporter who seeks to evict 99%ers from their home says:
Constant ignorant confusion over the basic terms of the issue:
Weather–what happens day to day, next week in your locality. “Long Term Forecasts” go out 1-2-3 years.
Climate–what is happening over 100′s of years over the entire Globe.
According to climate scientists, in this paper that was highly touted a few years ago,
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2011JD016263/abstract
you need 17 years to spot a global warming trend. Currently RSS shows no statistically significant warming trend since 1990, and a negative trend since 1997. Gistemp and other non-satellite datasets show no trend since 1995, and a negative trend still statistically insignificant since 2003.
At some point, scientists have to walk away from their extreme warming predictions, and tone it down.
http://skepticalscience.com/trend.php
I have heard that the Farmers Almanac is pretty good at the annual long term forecasts. As I recall, the person who estimated the weather for D-Day was from FA. Best to be prepared.
This is very cool.
you funny, you go home 🙂
You can say whatever you like and blame whoever you want, but the glaciers are still vanishing and the sea levels are still rising. (There’s money to be made owning the land above the tide line.)
Are you still going to deny and refuse to relocate to somewhere safe? Then you and your kids are going to drown and die in your swell low-lying beach front properties.
I personally don’t care. I’m too old for it to really affect me.
I’m too high up on some cliffs and too far from the shore to need to worry about floods caused by an Atlantic tsunami caused by eruption of the Las Palma volcano, never mind the loss of the Greenland, European, Patagonian or even Antarctic ice caps to climate change.
I just figured it was better to be safe than sorry, ’cause sorry just ain’t going to cut it when you’re trying to explain it to your kids that your heritage is some swamp or some salt estuary bottom.
Bad news for those green groups who wanted to publicize global warming by sailing the Northwest Passage. They got stuck in the ice!
Chaotic pendulum model?
I have seen the light! It’s all true. The only way to save ourselves is for most of us to commit suicide. The rest must live naked, eating nothing but dirt, twigs and our own poop.
Man is evil and ravages poor mother Earth.
The tv just asked me: “How many times does it flood Venice–ie–has 3-4 inches of water over the marble of St Marks Square?” /// Venice being one of my favorite vacation spots that I have visited about 5 times, and knowing they have put in those fancy flood gates, I guessed 3-4 times per year.
Turns out it is 115 days per year.
….. and the Maldives have vacated 20 inhabited islands.
….. and NYC got flooded not with a hurricane surge, but with a simple tropical storm.
Yea Verily…………………………………… just LOOK!!!