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The Greenland ice cap is melting so quickly that it is triggering earthquakes as pieces of ice several cubic kilometres in size break off.
Scientists monitoring events this summer say the acceleration could be catastrophic in terms of sea-level rise and make predictions this February by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change far too low.
Melt water was pouring through to the bottom of the glacier creating a lake 500 metres deep which was causing the glacier “to float on land. These melt-water rivers are lubricating the glacier, like applying oil to a surface and causing it to slide into the sea. It is causing a massive acceleration which could be catastrophic.”
The glacier is now moving at 15km a year into the sea although in surges it moves even faster. He measured one surge at 5km in 90 minutes – an extraordinary event.
Veli Kallio, a Finnish scientist, said the quakes were triggered because ice had broken away after being fused to the rock for hundreds of years. The quakes were not vast – on a magnitude of 1 to 3 – but had never happened before in north-west Greenland and showed potential for the entire ice sheet to collapse.
I know it’s weird my brain works in terms of movie plots; but – a real disaster could occur before anyone cranks out a film.
#61 nightstar
Thanks for asking any way
1-Crabs require only food to survive and the ability to procreate. Humans as a species start with food, clothing, and shelter. Then they have to not only procreate they have to have environments to raise children that are shleters from many dangers for many years. You then have an increasing level of less concrete needs as well as outlined in Maslows hierarchy of needs.
2- so we weren’t around 600, 000 years ago you must believein a divine orgin for the species? Homo sapiens maybe weren’t but homo erectus probably was or other direct anscestors that survived until homo sapiens evovled from them.
3- see my post above about this but I would add that monkeys and dogs didn’t put themselves their we sent them a pretty big difference in capability I think we would probably agree. The other point is that people didn’t believe men could fly either at one point.
To state the obvious I can’t spell or type very well my apologies for the over site.
No apologies necessary mate. I’m massively dyslexic and thus not much of a spelling Nazi.
I don’t think human needs differ much from crabs’. The only difference I perceive is the strategy for addressing those needs. Crabs live in the shelter their bodies create. Humans build theirs. Same needs different methods.
I don’t believe in divine origins or creation. I was merely pointing out the intent of Scott’s comment as I interpreted it.
I don’t see much difference in your average monkeys ability to leave orbit vs your average human. In addition despite our ‘advanced’ technology we humans are yet to establish a self sustaining colony outside the earths atmosphere. Until we do so it’s all science fiction.
#66 nightstar
It is more about potential and ability not actual demonstrated cababilities that matter. Like I said before people said man can’t fly either but we do now and it is taking as a fact of our daily exsistence in less than 100 years. The monkey and dog don’t have a prayer of accomplishing manned space flight or powered flight for that matter where the human species does and it is just a question of when and how we will be able to do it. Just like the crab who evovled a means to survive with out shelter but the humans had to find means to create and build a shelter which opens the door for application in other ways like say space habitats etc.
I understand your take on this and while I agree that one shouldn’t underestimate man’s resourcefulness I think the odds of our establishing a colony off planet before destroying our ability to do so aren’t very good.
Given adequate time(say 600,000 years) and evolutionary pressure doubtless monkeys or dogs would manage the same feat. However this is all speculative and that’s why I’m relegating it to the realms of sci-fi.
#27
RE: Spotted Owls
It was also discovered that Spotted Owls can also thrive in young forests. It is as if the Owls don’t give a hoot about the age of tree. The Spotted Owl was an excuse by environmental extremists to get their way and it had nothing to do with conservation or fact.
I doubt any one disputes that the Earth is going through a warming trend (aka Global Warming). The core issue revolves entirely around the degree to which this warming trend is attributable to human activity and what *exactly* can be done about it without throwing the world into an economic meltdown. I personally accept that human activity has had *some* effect but to what degree I know not. I’m sure that smokers effect the environment as well but it is silly to discuss ideas that they their impact has any significance.
RE: Terra-forming
Not only have we as a species not proven we can live for any extended period of time on another planet, we have not proven we can create a working, self-sufficient biosphere on this planet under controlled conditions. Unfortunately, terra-forming still only exists in the Star Trek universe and not in reality.
I’d say it’s the pro-global warming side that’s a religion. Any weather announcement is immediately blamed on global warming. If it’s warmer, that’s global warming of course. If it’s colder then there is some theory given as to how that is because of global warming. Flooding is because of global warming, as well as record rainfall. But so is droughts.
Take ocean saltiness as an example. If the oceans are getting saltier, we are treated to the theory that global warming had dried up the oceans and is increasing the saltiness. When we find that in fact the oceans are getting less salty, we are told it is because global warming caused icecaps to melt, increasing the amount of freshwater in the oceans. Global warming is all powerful, and whatever happens in the word it is because of global warming.
“Have you looked at what is in the peer-reviewed scientific journals? Do you think that on this one subject alone out of all of science there is some global conspiracy? If so, why on this and not on something truly controversial like String Theory (or more accurately string hypothesis)?”
I don’t think there is a conspiracy at all. it’s just gotten out of hand and full of hot air with “group think”, and string theory isn’t even remotely similar as an example. Peer reviews of data can only affirm the apparent accuracy of the data and that’s it’s applied correctly. Everyone knows that data can be viewed with any bias you like. So far they have been wrong (even by some of your precious peer reviews) with their prediction, data and conclusions! Peer Sneer Let them correctly predict one or two years from now correctly, rather than state what has already transpired, and I’ll take more notice of their ranting.
Also, from what I’ve read, the threat to man is rapid climate change, not the overall warmer and stable future temperature. It may be uncomfortable and disruptive for a while but people will surely die if efforts and resources are fritted away on doomsday puffery.
KVolk,
Why is always so easy to believe the worst and not the best? or the most likely? You know 1000 years ago no one had heard of space flight or automobiles or refrigeration or vaccines or computers so 1000 years from now I think the same will have happened.
I agree. A thousand years from now, no one will have heard of space flight, automobiles, refrigeration, vaccines, or computers. And, if we’re not careful, humans will be in that list as well. It’s not disasturbation if it’s A) real and B) something we’re trying to avoid.
Since we’re past peak food and not past peak humans, how do you plan to solve the issue of increasing humans and decreasing food?
Personally, I favor voluntarily reducing the population dramatically. If we fail at that, our population will be reduced for us, but it will be painful.
You are completely deluding yourself if you think we have the ability to survive off planet without a habitable earth behind continuously shipping supplies. The nearest earth-like planet is far from our current ability to reach, and hasn’t even been found yet. So far, just one candidate may even be the right general type. We won’t really know for a long time and it’s quite far away.
As for your refusal to consider the longevity of other species when speaking about survival just means that you are looking for an answer that means we can survive and have fabricated one to your liking.
The only measure of survivability is survivability, by definition. So, species that have survived far more changes than we can imagine are, by definition, better survivors, duh.
#69 – MikeN,
Where exactly are you getting all that crap? No one of repute has stated that any particular storm or weather event is caused by global warming. There have been some statements that the frequency of such events may be caused by global warming. However, weather is very different than climate and much more chaotic.
#70 – JimR,
Peer reviews of data can only affirm the apparent accuracy of the data and that’s it’s applied correctly.
If that’s the case, and their really are so many dissenting scientists, why the extreme paucity of actual peer-reviewed papers?
As for your take on rapid change, that is precisely the point. We’re expecting warming within a hundred years of a magnitude not previously documented to have happened in under about 16,000 years. This is true even with the documentation left behind in ice cores, tree rings, lake beds, or any other lasting record.
I’m getting to this thread late, but I see nothing new in any of the posts. However, I think a comment on the article is in order:
“Melt water was pouring through to the bottom of the glacier creating a lake 500 metres deep which was causing the glacier ‘to float on land.’ These melt-water rivers are lubricating the glacier, like applying oil to a surface and causing it to slide into the sea. It is causing a massive acceleration which could be catastrophic.”
Pardon me for the physics lesson, but do any of you GW worshippers know that an earthquake releases one hell of lot of energy? And what happens when that energy is released into ice? And which part of a kilometer high column of ice is closest to melting? (Here’s a hint: pressure.)
So which came first, the earthquake or the melting?
I’d need a whole hell of lot more data than what is presented here before I’d buy into the explanation offered by Vali Kallio.
>increasing humans and decreasing food?
I’m not sure where you’re getting that. The food supply has been increasing, and if Africa ever gets its act together, the food supply will increase even more. Zimbabwe used to be a breadbasket, not a basketcase. As for higher population, most of the first world is in population decline, and it’s primarily only the Muslims that have a long term growth trend.
I want’ referring to global warming being blamed for individual weather events, but rather climate. Periods of more rainfall is global warming, and periods of drought are global warming. Ocean saltiness was supposed to be the proof that man-made global warming is happening. If you want to disown all of the gloom blamed on global warming, feel free, but you can’t make the claims made by others disappear. One poster on this site even linked to a report from the UN that ethnic cleansing in Darfur was caused by global warming.
Misanthropic Scott , taking my comments out of context is a waste of time. Geesh. As far as peer reviews go, why don’t you mention the peer reviews that find the data in error, and the conclusions wrong?
Please list the predictions that the IPCC has gotten right so far.
#67 nightstar
well pessism is a valid philosophy I guess though how you think it just will take sme evolutionary pressure to make the dogs etc the eqqual of the human species I can’ t begin to understand. Evolutionary pressure isn’t something that is turned up like the dial of the oven it is or isn’t and after this amount of time if a self aware intelligence hasn’t emerged then you won’t see one in a given observed species unless you want to alk science fiction again.
#71 MS
Malthusian scare tactics aren’t an argument you might as well say that if the sun explodes tommorrow we won’t have to go to work. We do feed ourselves and we have feed our selves and we will continue to feed ourselves. As a species we will continue to move forward and find ways to grow and prosper as a species. Name a species similar to humans. The only critieria would be what have they created, besides genetic reproductions of their species, that is recognized by current members of their species as such an item. Hum can’t do it? that is why you can’t compare humans to other species or just use surviabillity to dum down the comparision to fit the argument, it is about the potential of that species and how it is expressed and concerning humans there is no other comparable species. If you want to keep comparing apples to oranges and insisting they are the same go right ahead but your argument will have no surviability with me.
#55 “What came first, the warming trend or the prediction from “science”? The warming trend of course.”
In the 70’s the catch phrase was ‘Global Cooling’ because of the cooling down trend. At at the end of the 70’s early 80’s when temps started going up…this needed to be explained so its global warming now.
One thing is for certain – no one wants to be wrong – especially scientists. I recall the line from Ghost Busters “I’ve been in the real world – they expect results”.
Now that Global Warming has become politicized anyone dares to offer up evidence to the contrary they are a heretic. We made our choice now – it warming dammit so the science must stop.
That is wrong. Scientific study must continue and let the chips fall where they may.
Cheers
#75 “The food supply has been increasing, and if Africa ever gets its act together, the food supply will increase even more.”
Food is not the issue – China feeds itself and is a net exporter of farmed seafood. Indonesia has more of a potential to be the bread basket of the world. Agricultural market economies control the supply to meet the demand. If you don’t believe that than boy are you deluded (I didn’t say stupid)!
Cheers
#79
Hell, it’s all theory and speculation. Evolution is a theory though one I subscribe to.
I agree that evolutionary pressure isn’t like a dial. It’s brought to bear by changes in environment and circumstance. Adapt or die.
BTW I consider myself to be a realist not a pessimist 😉
I’ve read nothing here (so far) about the evidence of the other planets showing a warming trend too. Even NASA scientists admit as much. But they realize that this couldn’t possibly “human caused” and might contradict the assumption that earth’s temperature increase is. So they quickly, sight all sorts of excuses for each planet’s warming trend. It’s always something acceptional and unrepeatable for these worlds. And always mankind’s fault, for earth. A rhetoric of denial of plain and simple evidence, that smack of religious dogma.
And yet, anyone who expresses a healthy skepticism about global warming being caused by mankind, is labeled (at least here they are) religiously dogmatic or something. Which doesn’t even make sense. To not believe in something that may be widely held as true, is not a dogmatic view! This is a completely backward definition. Those that hold to a believed truth, and ignore any mounting evidence to the contrary, or always dismiss it out of hand, are the ones being dogmatic. And it need not have anything to do with a religious frame of mind. But this seems to help sell the notion that Global Warming unbelievers are being religious fanatics, somehow. Leave it up to the atheists to be so clueless about others’ beliefs that they blame all the worlds ills on everyone else but themselves. I know one eco-headed atheist, who owns a motorcycle, a mini-van, and at one time a large RV. And he smuggling casts his distain on the rest of us economy car users for not taking more drastic steps to curb global warming. Like chopping our own firewood, like he grew up doing. I’d call his a hypocrit, if he weren’t a friend of mine. I just tolerate his inconsistant views, and hope he’ll eventually come around. As he probably does about me. We’ll see.
I wonder…are the calculations of our climate and the warming trend are done more on Apple Macs?
Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm………………………………………mmm
Cheers
😉
#84….actually, I have seen the articles from NASA and other space groups talking about the warming trend on other planets in our solor system. I keep looking for them again and only found 1 small one. I have some memory problems, so can’t always remember where I saw things, but it will come to me…..lol
I think I mentioned this planet warming thing in at least one of the weekly global warming sermons provided here at DU by thoughtful atheists….lol
I know that once I was foolish enough to provide 3 reports by Russian and Norwegian climate experts that global warming was being caused by the Sun and (i can’t remember which) either rain/mositure at high levels in the atmosphere or clouds. I was inundated with scathing comments about *peer* reviews and how the Russian was working for big oil. etc, etc, etc……..the usual response here to unorthadoxy.
Funny isn’t it…..so many people who post here won’t believe 90% of what the goverment or the establishment says or writes, but when it comes to global warming being caused by humans they believe every single word written or spoken by these same groups….weird, just weird.
#86 “…of what the goverment or the establishment says or writes, but when it comes to global warming being caused by humans they believe every single word written or spoken by these same groups…”
When the global warming became politicised that’s when the science stops – or stumbles. To get funding one needs the global warming ticket without it – no funding.
Global warming is an boon on many levels. This is what alarms me that the research may be slanted as this issue is in the hands of politicians.
As I said before I am 50/50 and would like to see more impartial research done and not research only to support a forgone conclusion.
Cheers
#87….Global warming, caused by Humans, is a lot like stem cell research. The powers that be have decided this is the issue, these are the facts(as we, the scientific elite, see them) and anyone else is an unbeliever, therefore are ….**insert insult of your choice here**……
The same happened with embryonic stem cell research, all kinds of *cures* and medical advancement was possible from ESC research. When those who differed suggested Adult stem cell research as an alternative, when this administration limited the cell lines that could be used and still get goverment funding, all hell broke loose. But the facts are, the only real, honest to goodness advancements have been from adult stem cell research. Then they said that was only because the goverment limited the amount of ESC lines….but thats just a red herring…..ESC research is still allowed with as many lines as can be developed, as long as GOVERMENT funding isn’t used….plus many goverments in other countries are doing the research, so the lack of cell lines arguement is bogus…..the problem is those who do the research lost their money tree when the goverment limited what it would pay for.
At the same time, those who advocated adult stem cell research were vilified and called cruel and heartless because they didn’t want Parkinsons patients to get well, or to cure diabete’s in children…..etc., etc, etc…..same tactics as global warming by humans advocates use.
The fanatics with their shrill screaming dominate the air waves with their descriptions of doom and gloom, in this age of the 30 second attention span by citizens and touchy-feely warm and fuzzies as policy rather than common sense.
#89 Nice – I especially liked this “What If the Chinese economy continues to grow at 8 percent a year, by 2031 income per person will equal that in the United States in 2004.”
Bollocks! That is so far off the line its in orbit. How was this calculated – in dreamland? I am not even going to bother trying to explain all this.
By the way I saw China has a chapter but I didn’t see any mention of India. I assume India has a place somewhere so please point this out.
So Yes you are right the world as we know it is over…
Cheers
Just like any other religion, the Global Warming (TM) crowd would be tolerable except for one difference: In normal scientific debates, two or more groups go after each other in the intellectual arena only. The GW crowd however is dangerous in the fact that they try to actively legislate away freedoms to an unprecedented scale. It’s perfectly fine for Scott and others to drive a hybrid and preach to others how they should also. It is quite wrong however to force someone else to drive one. And when a government adds a new tax, say on fuel, simply to “encourage” (coerce) people to drive different vehicles, they have crossed into social engineering which is simply immoral.
Global Warming (TM) is a power grab and nothing more.
Speaking of legislating away freedom and how dangerous the GW group is: Let’s discuss CFL’s and the attempts to outlaw incandescent bulbs. Isn’t it a bit hypocritical to ban smoking yet try to require everyone to introduce a health hazard into their homes?
http://epa.gov/mercury/spills/cflcleanup.pdf (check the part about cleaning up a broken bulb.) I wish I were a lawyer – I smell a great opportunity for a class action lawsuit against a state government.
#90 – TIHZ_HO,
I am not even going to bother trying to explain all this.
That’s no way to have a debate. Please explain. Please post some links to other calculations. If you want me to explain an author’s work, I will just go to the footnotes for particular issues, same as you could if you were open to learning other points of view.
AFAIK, there is no chapter on India. The assumption was that the changes in China would not happen in isolation. They would happen along with India, Indonesia, Malaysia, and many others all striving for an improved standard of living and all increasing humanity’s impact on the planet.
The point was that even if China achieved a first world economy and the rest of the world stood still in time, a highly unlikely event, we would double humanity’s impact on the planet. That this will not happen in isolation means that merely doubling is overly optimistic.
Misanthropic Scott, LOL, i was falling asleep last night during my last post and today i have much to do. Let’s wait until another DV evniro topic and I’ll respond where we left off. In the meantime, take care. 🙂
#92 Sorry you’re right – I did say I was 50/50 on this but I just don’t have the time right now for my usual three chapters…
and I’ll have a look at Plan B
Cheers
#95 – Thomas,
This is the latest I can find on the hockey stick debate.
http://tinyurl.com/yomce5
BTW, the paper you posted first is exactly the paper I referenced in an earlier post about what I have been able to find. Apparently there was some more debate after the latest that I had read. So far though, the hockey stick is still holding up well, IMHO. It is also far from the only paper showing that warming is occurring and is human caused.
You should also make note of the fact that Stephen McIntyre is an employee of the Northwest Exploration Co., Ltd., Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Follow the money. It often points to the bias.
Your second link seems to be about the controversies that exist over the precise magnitude of change, not over whether the change is happening. The authors of that article seem quite content to let the long standing statement that the global mean temperature is increasing as a result of human emissions of greenhouse gases stand.
That last link is not on the list of academic journals.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_academic_journals
From their own website, this is precious:
21st Century Science & Technology magazine challenges the assumptions of modern scientific dogma, including quantum mechanics, relativity theory, biological reductionism, and the formalization and separation of mathematics from physics. We demand a science based on constructible (intelligible) representation of concepts, but shun the simple empiricist or sense-certainty methods associated with the Newton-Galileo paradigm.
Our unique collection of editors and scientific advisers maintain an ongoing intellectual dialogue with leading thinkers in many areas, including biology, physics, space science, oceanography, nuclear energy, and ancient epigraphy. Original studies by the controversial economist Lyndon LaRouche have challenged the epistemological foundations of the von Neumann and Wiener-Shannon information theory, and located physical science as a branch of physical economy. In science policy areas, we have challenged sacred cows, from the theory of global warming to the linear threshold concept of radiation.
These guys, since they do not believe in relativity and especially quantum mechanics should shut down their computers and hide under a rock. Quantum mechanics is integral to the workings of the semiconductors in modern computers. If they’re going to deny that, the should not use the products built on the technology.
Certainly, Thomas, you may want to avoid citing this source again in the future. I’m sure it did NOT come up on google scholar.
Scott, the IPCC dumped the hockey stick from their latest report. It’s gone. They don’t have the same confidence that they had 6 years ago. This was a decision of scientists.