These quotes are from the Telegraph. You can download all the emails on Megaupload or have a glance at them on this forum.

I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline.

The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t. The CERES data published in the August BAMS 09 supplement on 2008 shows there should be even more warming: but the data are surely wrong. Our observing system is inadequate.

Next time I see Pat Michaels at a scientific meeting, I’ll be tempted to beat the crap out of him. Very tempted.




  1. Mr. Fusion says:

    #98, pedro,

    I keep expecting you to post something relevant. When you pose as Cherman you sometimes do.

    So how is the goat thing working out?

  2. DFC says:

    I am appalled at some of the pro-man-made global warmers and the anti-man-made global warmers posts in here. Rather than dealing with FACTS, the pro-AGW assume that the anti-AGW are right wing christians (a fallacy as you are stereotyping based upon your own experiences) etc.. simply because the anti-AGW oppose their views. I see some of the most lowest forms of arguments – insults rather than facts. Please re-read your messages and check the type of arguments that you make. Appeal to Emotion, Appeal to Authority, Straw Man etc.. and try to make it more civil.

    Just because children in cities have a higher case of asthma there is no proven causality with AGW.. that is most likely caused by pollutants. Nothing to do with a theory of increased temperature due to CO2 – the exhaust of your lungs. That does not mean an anti-AGW is against decreasing harmful pollutants into air, water and earth; it means they do not believe CO2 produced by humans have caused man-made global warming. Please see the differences. I also see the same stupid arguments from anti-AGW. A large majority of the posts in here are just blatant emotional shots at each side.

    I remain a sceptic of both sides, but this hack has convinced me that these guys have worked together in peer reviewing each other and falsifying data. Arranging peer-review to have something passed easily is falsifying in itself – peer review is done so that you get both sides to look at the data and critique it. Their studies is the base of the IPCC argument and why they received a nobel peace prize. I find this to be horrific, that a multi-billion dollar industry has been created out of false, manipulated and inaccurate data. More-so that crucial data is not being released so that it can be peer reviewed and analyzed by all.. where there is lack of transparency it is usually due to a fear of people finding out the truth.

    Please read: http://www.canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/17102

  3. soundwash says:

    Just in case the notorious “cherry pickers” in DU try their BS.

    Until you learn the real science, you know nothing.

    From Electric Weather:

    30 May 2004

    The following excerpts come from a report that appeared in the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) magazine, SPECTRUM, for April. The report demonstrates that when science has lost its way, engineers must use their intuition to make progress.

    Electric Rainmaking Technology Gets Mexico’s Blessing

    But for now, doubters prevail north of the border.

    From at least the early 1940’s to the end of the 20th century, it always rained more in the state of Jalisco, in central Mexico, than in its neighbor Aguascalientes. But in 2000, on a patch of parched pasture in Aguascalientes, workers from Mexico City-based Electrificación Local de la Atmósfera Terrestre SA (ELAT) erected a peculiar field of interconnected metal poles and wires somewhat resembling the skeleton of a carnival tent. Since then, about as much rain has fallen on the plains of Aguascalientes as on its more lush neighbor.

    The brainchild of a fractious group of Russian emigré’s, the poles and wires are in fact a network of conductors meant to ionize the air. If the technique is done properly, the thinking goes, the natural current between the earth and the ionosphere is amplified, leading — through a mechanism that is not fully understood — to rainfall. There are now 17 such installations in six states in Mexico, and in January, federal government agencies decided to back construction and operation of 19 more by 2006, potentially altering the weather in much of parched north and central Mexico. Meanwhile, by May, ELAT’s competitor Earthwise Technologies Inc., of Mexico City and Dallas, could win the right to establish ionization stations in southwest Texas’s water-starved Webb County, which would make it the first such installation in the United States.

    >>STORM CLOUDS GATHER: Scientists and authorities differ over whether ionizing the air can bring on big weather changes.

    But some atmospheric scientists aren’t so sure the Russians aren’t selling snake oil. “[Ionization] is highly unconventional and in my realm of experience, I have seen no concrete evidence published in a refereed journal, nor have I seen sufficient credible eyewitness verification that the technology works as touted,” says George Bomar, the meteorologist charged by the Texas government with licensing the state’s weather modification projects.

    Comment: This is the common phenomenon of cognitive dissonance in science. The Russians are performing a weather experiment which should fail according to accepted theory. So the scientist complains that he has “seen no concrete evidence published in a refereed journal.” But the complaint reduces to a matter of belief. Scientists do not believe electrical power is input to weather systems. Referees who believe atmospheric electricity is an effect, rather than a cause of weather, would almost certainly find grounds for rejecting funding for, or publication of, such an experiment. The same applies to the publication of reports from credible eyewitnesses. For decades airline pilots witnessed strange lightning above storms but were discouraged from reporting it. The objection is unfair and unscientific. Advances come from challenging established beliefs.

    Ionization technology is called either IOLA (ionization of the local atmosphere) by Earthwise or ELAT (electrification of the atmosphere) by the company ELAT. IOLA and ELAT compete with conventional cloud seeding, which — though it also remains scientifically unproven — is used in more than 24 countries and 10 U.S. states. Cloud seeding usually involves dispersing a chemical agent such as silver iodide into cloud formations, which helps ice crystals form, leading, it is thought, to bigger clouds and more precipitation than without seeding. The ionization approach, according to Bissiachi, now ELAT’s vice president of R&D and operations, does a similar job but twice over. Ions attract water in the atmosphere, creating the aerosol that produces clouds, and they also charge the dust already in the air, making particles become more attractive nuclei for water droplets, which coalesce and fall to the ground as rain.

    Comment: It seems that the basic problem in gaining acceptance for ionization technology is the facile description of what causes rain. And that is a problem inherited from the experts –’ the meteorologists and atmospheric scientists. The water molecule is fascinating because, unlike the nitrogen and oxygen molecules in the air, it is electrically polarized.

    >>The oxygen (blue) side of the water molecule is more negative than the hydrogen side (red), forming an electric dipole.

    In an electric field, the water molecule will rotate to line up with the field. When it condenses in a cloud the average electric dipole moment of a water molecule in a raindrop is 40 percent greater than that of a single water vapor molecule. This enhancement results from the large polarization caused by the electric field induced by surrounding water molecules. In the atmospheric electric field the water molecules will be aligned with their dipoles pointing vertically and in a sense that is determined by the charge polarization in the cloud. It is interesting to note that the tops of storm clouds are positively charged and the base is negative. That is the reverse of the radial charge polarization within the Earth itself. And it is this charge polarization that gives rise to the low-order attractive force we call gravity. So it is proposed that water droplets in clouds experience an antigravity effect. It appears to be related to the ‘Biefield-Brown Effect,’ where a charged high-voltage planar capacitor tends to move in the direction of the positive electrode. That effect may explain how millions of tons of water can be suspended kilometres above the ground, when cloud droplets are about 1,000 times denser than the surrounding air.

    Of course, this raises the issue of charge separation in clouds. The conventional ‘isolated Earth’ view is that positive and negative charge is ‘somehow’ separated by vertical winds in clouds and that this process in thunderstorms is responsible for charging up the ionosphere and causing the atmospheric electric field. But this begs the question of cause and effect. Recent high-altitude balloon flights find that charge is not built up in the cloud, it already exists in the ionosphere above. In January 2002 I argued the electric universe model: “Thunderstorms are not electricity generators, they are passive elements in an interplanetary circuit, like a self-repairing leaky condenser. The energy stored in the cloud ‘condenser’ is released as lightning when it short-circuits. The short-circuits can occur either within the cloud or across the external resistive paths to Earth or the ionosphere. The charge across the cloud ‘condenser’ gives rise to violent vertical electrical winds within the cloud, not vice versa.”

    This view accords with a recent report (17 November 2003) in Geophysical Review Letters by Joseph Dwyer of the Florida Institute of Technology, which says that according to conventional theory electrical fields in the atmosphere simply cannot grow large enough to trigger lightning. “The conventional view of how lightning is produced is wrong.” And so “the true origin of lightning remains a mystery.”

    Water vapor in rising air cools and condenses to forms clouds. The conventional explanation for rising air relies upon solar heating. The electrical weather model has an additional galactic energy source (the same that powers the Sun) to drive the movement of air. It is the same energy source that drives ferocious high-level winds on the giant outer planets, where solar energy is extremely weak. Once the water vapor condenses into water droplets it is more plausible that millions of tons of water can remain suspended kilometres above the Earth by electrical means, rather than by thermal updraughts. The clouds would act to reduce thermals.

    Returning to the article, can we explain how “the natural current between the Earth and the ionosphere is amplified” and how that might increase rainfall? It seems to follow naturally from the electric weather model because the ion generators are supplying mobile charge carriers into the dielectric or atmosphere, which increases the leakage current between the Earth and the ionosphere. The vertical leakage currents drive vertical motion of the air. In some instances these invisible currents are probably responsible for that unseen danger to aircraft — clear air turbulence. And we find the most severe vertical winds in thunderstorms, where electrical power is dramatically evident.

    Earthwise’s installations are structures about 7 meters high, shaped like short open-topped air-traffic control towers, that house proprietary ion generators and blowers to lift the ions. Separate antennas amplify the ionization by manipulating the local electric and electromagnetic fields. ELAT’s installations work in the same manner but are more primitive in appearance, consisting of a 37-meter high central tower surrounded by 8-meter posts arranged hexagonally at a distance of 150 meters. The tower and posts are interconnected by wires, which when set to a high dc voltage by a 2-kilowatt generator, ionize air molecules such as nitrogen and oxygen. According to Bissiachi, as the ions waft upward, they produce about 1 milliampere of current. This current swamps the Earth’s natural current — about 1 picoampere — and can affect the weather up to 200 kilometers from the station, he says.

    Summing up all its tests from 2000 to 2002, ELAT and its U.S. and Canadian counterpart Ionogenics, in Marblehead, Mass., claim that ionization led to about double the average historical precipitation stimulating, among other things, a 61 percent increase in bean production in Mexico’s central basin in the last three years. Cloud seeding, in comparison, typically claims only a 10-15 percent improvement in rainfall.

    Despite the claimed successes, ionization has its critics. Atmospheric scientists contacted for this article noted that even the four years of testing was too brief a period to prove that the effects seen were not due to some sort of extraordinary variability in the local weather. Bissiachi claims that the criticism goes to a deeper prejudice. “Meteorologists are not used to thinking that electrical phenomena could be important to the normal hydrodynamic model,” he says.

    Weather modification technology has always had a hard time standing up to rigorous scientific scrutiny. Ross N. Hoffman, a vice president at Atmospheric and Environmental Research Inc. in Lexington, Mass., helped complete a scientific review of cloud seeding, which was released by the U.S. National Research Council, Washington, D.C., in November 2003. It found that even after more than 50 years of use, cloud seeding remained unproven from a scientific standpoint. “[Ionization] faces the same problems cloud seeding does,” he says. Among those are uncertainty about the natural variability of precipitation, the inability to accurately measure rainfall,and the need to randomize and replicate experiments. The last is particularly troublesome, since weather modification companies are typically hired to induce rain whenever they can. Randomly turning on or off the system to prove a point is not in the customer’s interest, Hoffman notes.

    Ionization also suffers doubts about its basic plausibility. Brian A. Tinsley, a physicist at the University of Texas, Dallas, and an expert on the effects of ions and current in the atmosphere, points out that the ionosphere is about 250,000 volts positive compared with the ground. But the effect of the resulting current, and changes to it from cosmic rays and other phenomena, on droplet formation and precipitation is “relatively small” and restricted to certain types of clouds in specific locations, he says. Considering the size of the natural voltage and the modesty of its impact on rainfall, effective weather modification using ionization, he believes, would require enormous power input and hundreds of square kilometers of antenna arrays.

    SAMUEL K. MOORE

    Comment: If conventional theory fails to explain electrical storms it cannot be used to discount the results of ionization experiments. Instead, conventional theory suffers doubts about its basic plausibility. Weather experts have a limited view of the electrical nature of the Earth and its environment. The “enormous power input” is freely available from the galaxy. That galactic electrical power drives the weather systems on all of the planets and even the Sun. So the ionization experiment is rather like the control gate in a transistor, where a small current into the control gate influences the entire power output of the transistor. This method of weather control should eventually force the critics to think again.

    Wal Thornhill

    note: the Russians have known how to do this “rainmaking method” since the 50’s.

    -right after Radar went mainstream from WWII. -as well as from when Russia and the U.S. “split” the remaining NAZI scientists. (search Operation Paperclip for the U.S. side of the split)

    -though my research indicates they may have the groundwork already laid in the 30’s.

    It was in part, learned from Tesla’s work.

    Remember, history is written by the victors..and as such, is grossly exaggerated, if not down right entirely false almost all of the time.

    (esp these days when you have agencies like the cia “guiding the scribe’s hand”)

    These arrays are, basically miniature HAARP arrays. -and you can do so much more than modify the weather with them. -like induce earthquakes (which surprise! are
    also electrical in nature)

    As a bonus: here is far more realistic (and provable) [electric] theory of: “Assembling the Solar System”

    -s

  4. Uncle Patso says:

    From #104 soundwash’s exceedingly long quote:
    “It is interesting to note that the tops of storm clouds are positively charged and the base is negative. That is the reverse of the radial charge polarization within the Earth itself. And it is this charge polarization that gives rise to the low-order attractive force we call gravity.”

    Soundwash is losing it. Too much silver on the brain, I suppose…

    As for the original story all these comments are supposedly about: this is being pushed by Murdoch’s News Corp. It will turn out to be little to nothing.

    Anyway, if the warming deniers are right and we’re actually headed for another ice age, I say we should immediately put a heavy tax on all fossil fuels so we can try to save as much of it as possible for when we _really_ need it!

  5. Uncle Dave says:

    SOUNDWASH,

    Don’t post entire books. Short and concise items with links to the rest is what you need.

  6. Poptech says:

    All Your Emails Are Belong To Us!

  7. MikeN says:

    Fusion, in your mind does Tom Fuller not count as a skeptic, or is he a right-wing nut?

  8. MikeN says:

    A bunch of e-mails about how to avoid Freedom of INformation Act requests, including I’ll delete everything before I hand things over.

    The guy says he hates the web, and that these bloggers just want to try and find something wrong with our work.

    He does a back and forth with one scientist, asking him if the e-mails he sent him were intended to be confidential. The guy responds, I’ll have to check the e-mails. Phil says, no I just need a general yes or no, if you say yes, then I can deny the FOI request on that basis. The scientist, clueless, or perhaps realizing the implications and not wanting to join in, says I don’t think they were confidential.

  9. MikeN says:

    “Anyway, I’ll maybe cut the last few points off the filtered curve before I
    give the talk again as that’s trending down as a result of the end effects
    and the recent cold-ish years.”

    Need to hide any evidence that global warming may be pausing.

  10. soundwash says:

    # 105 Uncle Patso said,

    From #104 soundwash’s exceedingly long quote:

    “It is interesting to note that the tops of storm clouds are positively charged and the base is negative. That is the reverse of the radial charge polarization within the Earth itself. And it is this charge polarization that gives rise to the low-order attractive force we call gravity.”

    Soundwash is losing it. Too much silver on the brain, I suppose…

    Hey now, don’t knock the silver until you try it.. 😛

    -as for the “radial charge polarization within the Earth”

    In English: he describing gravity as a polarized corkscrew “wave”.

    That is: gravity is a spiraling (like a corkscrew) type of electromagnetic wave that contains both a positive and negative charge.

    Picture (or make) a section of a twisted pair of wires carrying +/- charges in conical (spiral cone-) shape.

    a Gravity wave “starts” at the point of the “cone” and spirals out. (which is why it gets “weaker” with distance. (the inverse square law)

    The (corkscrew) spin and the “point” that generates it, is simply the “spinning core” of every atom.

    The more atoms, the more “gravity waves” generated. -hence why “massive things” exhibit more “gravitational effect”

    It’s essentially, that friggen simple.

    Polarized defined in this case:

    To separate or accumulate positive and negative electric charges in two distinct regions. Polarized objects have an electric dipole moment and will undergo torque when placed in an external electric field.

    Torque, as you know, can be described as a turning or twisting force..

    -and we know there are [electro] magnetic fields everywhere. -however regular EM waves travel as a pair of sine waves 90degrees apart, while EM gravity waves travel entwined together in an outwardly radiating, and ever-increasing spiral-shape.

    Gravity is simply a polarized conical (or helical) electromagnetic wave

    Tada!

    (that’s why if you investigate electro-gravitic research, there is always some spinning involved, be it simple a spinning disk or a toroidal (coiled) electromagnetic ring (or ring of plasma) generating a spinning magnetic field.

    (Like the noise cancellation technology used in some headphones or headsets, merely produces the ambient sound 180degress out of phase to “cancel” noise..

    You only need produce 180degrees out of phase corkscrew “gravity wave” to “cancel out” the local gravity field to obtain “neutral buoyancy” or neutralize gravity..)

    His talk about the storm clouds is essentially describing the water molecule’s diamagnetic [<- wiki that] properties.

    -and surprise! the water molecule just so happens to be a polarized electric dipole!

    this is why clouds “float”

    I’ll attempt to simply:

    The tiny molecules of water vapour that make up Clouds can be thought as Bar Magnets that (when in the presence of an external magnetic field, [like Earth’s]) will always try to align their “North” side with the “north” of the external magnetic field causing a repulsive effect.

    Clouds, (water vapour) will always try to “push away” from the Earths magnetic field..until they find equilibrium (in charge-state) and thus appear to “float”

    Interesting fact: most all physical matter has diamagnetic properties in varying degrees and thus can be made to exhibit an “anti-gravity” effect under the right conditions.
    ——
    This is why the ancients were able to build the pyramids as fast as they did (actually, quite less than the supposed 20years.)

    -and we still cannot figure how, with all of “today’s” technology.

    they did not use 1000’s of slaves to drag 20 ton stones into place.

    they used amongst other things, their knowledge the power of resonance, “sound”, and mind over matter to exploit the diamagnetic properties of the stones to levitate the stones in place.

    the fact that all the pyramids were located (at that time) along the lines of the focal points of the earth’s electric power grid played a big role as well.

    (the 19.5 degree latitude thing–place a star tetrahedron (the shape of the six pointed jewish star) inside the sphere of the earth to locate them. (known as the tropics of Cancer and Capricorn, i think)

    It is no coincidence that the sun spots on the sun tend to collect along the same latitudes. or that the red spot on jupiter is located along the same 19.5 degree latitude. –or that the energy field of the human body has the same “energy arrangement” –this why i keep harping above in post #102 on the fact that we are all [energetically connected and one set of simple “physics” defines everything in the universe including us)

    -and the floors of the all pyramids were not made of slabs quartz crystal (which have peizoelectric properties, amongst others, because they looked pretty)

    -all will be soon revealed and make in sense the coming days ahead. I can promise you that.

    This knowledge can no longer be suppressed. the coming changes have been known for 1000’s of years..

    When you say “I think soundwash is losing it” it only appears that way because I at last, understand how all the underlying connections work together. -and how simple it all really is.

    -s

  11. soundwash says:

    #106

    -sorry Uncle Dave, i’ll try to refrain.

    it’s just that the last time i did that, people just quoted from something linked out of context to make it look whimsical at best..

    -and you know me..as “simple” as everything is..until people take the blinders off so they can see the big picture..as the saying goes:

    “the devil is in the details”

    -of which i will spare no expense until people can finally see it for themselves.

    One must be reconnected to their “child’s eyes” instincts.

    What i have re-discovered and now can finally “see” is germane to us all, and is very important in the macro scale of humanity..

    (maybe i just have too much faith in people on the whole..call it a flaw,
    -but i do not think it is.)

    Trust me on this. -what i appear to always be rambling on about will eventually become clear as a bell.

    (and before we all have great grandchildren, i can assure you..)

    😛

    again, my apologies.

    -s

  12. Buzz says:

    I plan to leak some emails proving that W is a genius! What do I win?

  13. aslightlycrankgeek says:

    #100 Fusion,

    I would like to know when and where you claim to have done anything resembling research before I waste my time debating with someone with such a narrow-minded view and WAY too much time on his hands.

    The only thing funny enough to comment on from your rants:

    “Not all man-made global warming skeptics are right wing nuts, or even right wing for that matter.”

    Can you name one that isn’t?

    Have you ever heard of John C. Dvorak or do you just have enough time on your hands to comment on everyone’s blog on the internet?

    If you had read any of the emails linked in this story or knew anything about this issue, you would at know some of the skeptical scientists getting under the skin of these clowns, but I would think you at least know what website you are at!

    Seriously, as I suggested, read comments on some of the science/tech sites related to this story. The overwhelming consensus is that these emails are extremely damning. Or you could read some left-leaning publications which remove all decent comments not in line with their ideology. But all joking aside, as annoying and insulting as you can be, I would rather have the option of reading all comments on a story than Huffington Post/BBC/NYT/Reuters which remove good comments from people who are not in line with their political agenda as a matter of course. I suspect that is why you are here as well.

  14. aslightlycrankgeek says:

    #100 Fusion,

    I would like to know when and where you claim to have done anything resembling research before I waste my time debating with someone with such a narrow-minded view and WAY too much time on his hands.

    The only thing funny enough to comment on from your rants:

    “Not all man-made global warming skeptics are right wing nuts, or even right wing for that matter.”

    Can you name one that isn’t?

    Have you ever heard of John C. Dvorak or do you just have enough time on your hands to comment on everyone’s blog on the internet?

    If you had read any of the emails linked in this story or knew anything about this issue, you would at know some of the skeptical scientists getting under the skin of these clowns, but I would think you at least know what website you are at!

  15. aslightlycrankgeek says:

    Fusion,

    Seriously, as I suggested, read comments on some of the science/tech sites related to this story. The overwhelming consensus is that these emails are extremely damning. Or you could read some left-leaning publications which remove all decent comments not in line with their ideology. But all joking aside, as annoying and insulting as you can be, I would rather have the option of reading all comments on a story than Huffington Post/BBC/NYT/Reuters which remove good comments from people who are not in line with their political agenda as a matter of course. I suspect that is why you are here as well.

  16. aslightlycrankgeek says:

    At the risk of looking like soundwash or Alfred1, one last comment/question –

    If anyone for some reason knows how I could find a cache of the Reuters story on this climate change hoax email hacking story / Climategate / whatever you want to call it when it broke, please post. Before they deleted all of the ‘conservative’ posts there were some really going comments and links to data, and now it looks like a blacked out CIA file.

  17. aslightlycrankygeek says:

    If anyone is still reading this story – I meant The Guardian in my previous posts. I did not mean to slander Reuters in such a way.

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